GOLF.com: 2026 Open Championship Odds — Scheffler and McIlroy Lead, Rahm Lurks

The 2026 Open Championship at Royal Birkdale marks the final men's major of the year, with the world's two best players headlining the betting board.

The Top of the Board

Defending champion Scottie Scheffler enters at +600, despite a missed cut at the Genesis Scottish Open — his first in years. Given his dominant season otherwise, oddsmakers still consider him the man to beat for a fifth major title.

Rory McIlroy follows closely at +780 after a T7 finish at the Scottish Open, where he contended deep into Sunday. His ball-striking form appears to be rounding into shape ahead of Birkdale.

The Chasing Pack

LIV Golf's Jon Rahm is third at +1550 after rallying to make the cut and finish T36 in Scotland. Matt Fitzpatrick (T3 last week) and Tommy Fleetwood (T13, grew up near Royal Birkdale) are tied fourth at +2150, with both entering in strong form.

Xander Schauffele sits just behind at +2200, while Chris Gotterup and Cameron Young represent intriguing mid-range value at +2900.

Strokeslab Perspective

From a Strokes Gained standpoint, the Birkdale fescue rough and coastal winds are likely to amplify the importance of SG: Off the Tee and SG: Around the Green in the closing rounds — two areas where Scheffler and McIlroy excel, reinforcing their positions at the top of the market.